Montrose
Clyde
The model leans Montrose at 44%. Expected goals: Montrose 2.09, Clyde 1.63. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 71%. Montrose won 4 of their last 6; Clyde won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Montrose | 48% | 2.09 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.41 | – | – | – |
| 2Clyde | 30% | 3.39 | – | – | – |
Pick: Montrose. Calibrated probability 44% (raw model output 48%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 77%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.09 – 1.63| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% |
| Both teams to score | Yes70% | No30% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.6%
- 1–18.3%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–16.0%
- 2–05.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Montrose −0.5| Montrose line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | – | 51% |
| 0 | 49% | 21% | 30% |
| +0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.