Predictions · League Two · outside model coverage

Clyde

30
Won

Forfar Athletic

The model leans Clyde at 41%. Expected goals: Clyde 1.52, Forfar Athletic 1.13. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%. Clyde won 2 of their last 6; Forfar Athletic won 2 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Clyde45%2.22
XDraw28%3.58
2Forfar Athletic27%3.70

Pick: Clyde. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 73%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.52 – 1.13
LineOverUnder
1.574%26%
2.549%51%
3.528%72%
Both teams to scoreYes53%No47%

Most likely scores

  • 1112.1%
  • 1010.7%
  • 219.2%
  • 208.2%
  • 018.0%
  • 007.0%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 39% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Clyde −0.5
Clyde lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.523%77%
-123%23%54%
-0.546%54%
046%26%28%
+0.572%28%
+172%17%11%
+1.589%11%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.