Predictions · Challenge Cup · outside model coverage
Clyde
1–4
Lost
St. Mirren B
The model leans Clyde at 55%. Expected goals: Clyde 2.77, St. Mirren B 1.47. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 73%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match64
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| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Clyde | 64% | 1.56 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.57 | – | – | – |
| 2St. Mirren B | 18% | 5.61 | – | – | – |
Pick: Clyde. Calibrated probability 55% (raw model output 64%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 82%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.77 – 1.47| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| Both teams to score | Yes72% | No28% |
Most likely scores
- 2–18.1%
- 3–17.5%
- 2–26.0%
- 1–15.9%
- 3–25.5%
- 2–05.5%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Clyde −1| Clyde line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 20% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | – | 35% |
| 0 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.