Predictions · League Two · outside model coverage

Spartans FC

33
Lost

Clyde

The model leans Spartans FC at 50%. Expected goals: Spartans FC 1.68, Clyde 1.11. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%. Spartans FC won 1 of their last 6; Clyde won 2 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Spartans FC50%2.02
XDraw27%3.77
2Clyde24%4.18

Pick: Spartans FC. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 76%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.68 – 1.11
LineOverUnder
1.577%23%
2.553%47%
3.530%70%
Both teams to scoreYes54%No46%

Most likely scores

  • 1111.5%
  • 1010.4%
  • 219.6%
  • 208.7%
  • 016.9%
  • 126.3%

Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 49% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Spartans FC −0.5
Spartans FC lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.527%73%
-127%23%49%
-0.551%49%
051%24%25%
+0.575%25%
+175%15%10%
+1.590%10%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.