Universidad de Chile
O'Higgins
The model leans Universidad de Chile at 51%. Expected goals: Universidad de Chile 1.65, O'Higgins 0.81. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 54%. Universidad de Chile won 3 of their last 5; O'Higgins won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Universidad de Chile | 56% | 1.78 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.75 | – | – | – |
| 2O'Higgins | 17% | 5.86 | – | – | – |
Pick: Universidad de Chile. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 56%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.65 – 0.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes45% | No55% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.1%
- 2–011.7%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–08.5%
- 0–16.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Universidad de Chile −1| Universidad de Chile line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 26% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| 0 | 57% | 24% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.