FC Gifu
Tochigi SC
The model leans FC Gifu at 37%. Expected goals: FC Gifu 1.31, Tochigi SC 1.19. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 52%. FC Gifu won 3 of their last 6; Tochigi SC won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Gifu | 38% | 2.62 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.38 | – | – | – |
| 2Tochigi SC | 32% | 3.10 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Gifu. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.31 – 1.19| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–08.3%
- 1–27.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Gifu 0| FC Gifu line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | – | 61% |
| 0 | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | – | 14% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.