FC Gifu
Tokushima Vortis
The model leans Tokushima Vortis at 43%. Expected goals: FC Gifu 1.25, Tokushima Vortis 1.69. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%. FC Gifu won 3 of their last 6; Tokushima Vortis won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Gifu | 27% | 3.67 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.82 | – | – | – |
| 2Tokushima Vortis | 47% | 2.15 | – | – | – |
Pick: Tokushima Vortis. Calibrated probability 43% (raw model output 47%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.25 – 1.69| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% |
| Both teams to score | Yes58% | No42% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.9%
- 0–27.6%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–06.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Tokushima Vortis −0.5| FC Gifu line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| 0 | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| +0.5 | 52% | – | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.