FC Gifu
Kochi United SC
The model leans FC Gifu at 50%. Expected goals: FC Gifu 1.48, Kochi United SC 0.90. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 53%. FC Gifu won 3 of their last 6; Kochi United SC won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Gifu | 49% | 2.02 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.46 | – | – | – |
| 2Kochi United SC | 22% | 4.60 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Gifu. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.48 – 0.90| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% |
| Both teams to score | Yes46% | No54% |
Most likely scores
- 1–013.7%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–010.1%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 53% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Gifu −0.5| FC Gifu line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| 0 | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.