RB Omiya Ardija
Kochi United SC
The model leans RB Omiya Ardija at 60%. Expected goals: RB Omiya Ardija 2.23, Kochi United SC 0.87. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 53%. RB Omiya Ardija won 4 of their last 6; Kochi United SC won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1RB Omiya Ardija | 67% | 1.49 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 20% | 4.93 | – | – | – |
| 2Kochi United SC | 12% | 8.05 | – | – | – |
Pick: RB Omiya Ardija. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 67%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 88%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.23 – 0.87| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% |
| Both teams to score | Yes52% | No48% |
Most likely scores
- 2–011.2%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–18.8%
- 3–08.3%
- 3–17.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 55% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: RB Omiya Ardija −1.5| RB Omiya Ardija line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 24% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| 0 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +0.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.