Kochi United SC
Kamatamare Sanuki
The model leans Kochi United SC at 44%. Expected goals: Kochi United SC 1.38, Kamatamare Sanuki 0.88. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 55%. Kochi United SC won 1 of their last 5; Kamatamare Sanuki won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kochi United SC | 48% | 2.11 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.33 | – | – | – |
| 2Kamatamare Sanuki | 22% | 4.45 | – | – | – |
Pick: Kochi United SC. Calibrated probability 44% (raw model output 48%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.38 – 0.88| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.5%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–010.0%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Kochi United SC −0.5| Kochi United SC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | – | 51% |
| 0 | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| +0.5 | 76% | – | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.