Millwall
Royal Antwerp
The model leans Millwall at 50%. Expected goals: Millwall 1.48, Royal Antwerp 0.89. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 53%. Millwall won 3 of their last 6; Royal Antwerp won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Millwall | 50% | 2.01 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.47 | – | – | – |
| 2Royal Antwerp | 21% | 4.68 | – | – | – |
Pick: Millwall. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.48 – 0.89| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% |
| Both teams to score | Yes45% | No55% |
Most likely scores
- 1–013.9%
- 1–112.3%
- 2–010.3%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 53% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Millwall −0.5| Millwall line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 26% | – | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| 0 | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| +0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.