Royal Antwerp
Genk
The model leans Genk at 37%. Expected goals: Royal Antwerp 1.16, Genk 1.34. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 52%. Royal Antwerp won 2 of their last 6; Genk won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Royal Antwerp | 31% | 3.22 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.40 | – | – | – |
| 2Genk | 40% | 2.53 | – | – | – |
Pick: Genk. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.16 – 1.34| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| Both teams to score | Yes51% | No49% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.7%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–08.2%
- 2–17.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Royal Antwerp 0| Royal Antwerp line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| 0 | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| +0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.