Hansa Rostock
Waldhof Mannheim
The model leans Hansa Rostock at 64%. Expected goals: Hansa Rostock 3.17, Waldhof Mannheim 1.34. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 71%. Hansa Rostock won 2 of their last 6; Waldhof Mannheim won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hansa Rostock | 73% | 1.37 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 15% | 6.76 | – | – | – |
| 2Waldhof Mannheim | 12% | 8.10 | – | – | – |
Pick: Hansa Rostock. Calibrated probability 64% (raw model output 73%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 88%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 3.17 – 1.34| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 3–17.9%
- 2–17.5%
- 4–16.2%
- 3–05.9%
- 2–05.6%
- 3–25.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hansa Rostock −1.5| Hansa Rostock line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| -1 | 55% | 19% | 27% |
| -0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| 0 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +0.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.