Hansa Rostock
Borussia Mönchengladbach
The model leans Borussia Mönchengladbach at 37%. Expected goals: Hansa Rostock 1.55, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.67. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 65%. Hansa Rostock won 2 of their last 6; Borussia Mönchengladbach won 3 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hansa Rostock | 35% | 2.88 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.94 | – | – | – |
| 2Borussia Mönchengladbach | 40% | 2.51 | – | – | – |
Pick: Borussia Mönchengladbach. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.55 – 1.67| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams to score | Yes64% | No36% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.6%
- 1–06.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Hansa Rostock 0| Hansa Rostock line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| 0 | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| +0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 20% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.