Waldhof Mannheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
The model leans Eintracht Frankfurt at 60%. Expected goals: Waldhof Mannheim 1.38, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.90. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 71%. Waldhof Mannheim won 1 of their last 5; Eintracht Frankfurt won 3 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Waldhof Mannheim | 15% | 6.64 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 17% | 5.96 | – | – | – |
| 2Eintracht Frankfurt | 68% | 1.47 | – | – | – |
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt. Calibrated probability 60% (raw model output 68%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 85%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.38 – 2.90| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% |
| Both teams to score | Yes71% | No29% |
Most likely scores
- 1–28.1%
- 1–37.8%
- 0–25.9%
- 0–35.7%
- 1–45.6%
- 1–15.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 69% · BTTS Yes 59%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Eintracht Frankfurt −1.5| Waldhof Mannheim line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6% | – | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 9% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| 0 | 16% | 16% | 69% |
| +0.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| +1 | 31% | 20% | 49% |
| +1.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.