Suduva
FK Panevezys
The model leans Suduva at 50%. Expected goals: Suduva 1.66, FK Panevezys 0.89. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 51%. Suduva won 5 of their last 6; FK Panevezys won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Suduva | 54% | 1.84 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.75 | – | – | – |
| 2FK Panevezys | 19% | 5.29 | – | – | – |
Pick: Suduva. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.66 – 0.89| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams to score | Yes48% | No52% |
Most likely scores
- 1–013.0%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–010.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.8%
- 0–16.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Suduva −0.5| Suduva line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| 0 | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.