Banga Gargzdai
Suduva
The model leans Banga Gargzdai at 32%. Expected goals: Banga Gargzdai 0.96, Suduva 0.81. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 64%. Banga Gargzdai won 2 of their last 6; Suduva won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Banga Gargzdai | 36% | 2.76 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 36% | 2.80 | – | – | – |
| 2Suduva | 28% | 3.56 | – | – | – |
Pick: Banga Gargzdai. Calibrated probability 32% (raw model output 36%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.96 – 0.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% |
| Both teams to score | Yes34% | No66% |
Most likely scores
- 0–016.9%
- 1–016.3%
- 0–113.8%
- 1–113.3%
- 2–07.8%
- 2–16.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 60% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Banga Gargzdai 0| Banga Gargzdai line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 24% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| 0 | 38% | 33% | 29% |
| +0.5 | 71% | – | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.