PFC CSKA Sofia II
Ludogorets Razgrad II
The model leans PFC CSKA Sofia II at 54%. Expected goals: PFC CSKA Sofia II 2.02, Ludogorets Razgrad II 0.95. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 54%. PFC CSKA Sofia II won 4 of their last 6; Ludogorets Razgrad II won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1PFC CSKA Sofia II | 61% | 1.63 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.39 | – | – | – |
| 2Ludogorets Razgrad II | 16% | 6.29 | – | – | – |
Pick: PFC CSKA Sofia II. Calibrated probability 54% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.02 – 0.95| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 2–010.5%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–07.1%
- 3–16.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 52% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: PFC CSKA Sofia II −1| PFC CSKA Sofia II line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38% | – | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| 0 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.