PFC CSKA Sofia II
Hebar
The model leans PFC CSKA Sofia II at 62%. Expected goals: PFC CSKA Sofia II 2.46, Hebar 0.90. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 55%. PFC CSKA Sofia II won 4 of their last 6; Hebar won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1PFC CSKA Sofia II | 71% | 1.41 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 18% | 5.52 | – | – | – |
| 2Hebar | 11% | 9.13 | – | – | – |
Pick: PFC CSKA Sofia II. Calibrated probability 62% (raw model output 71%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 89%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.46 – 0.90| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 2–010.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–08.7%
- 1–08.6%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: PFC CSKA Sofia II −1.5| PFC CSKA Sofia II line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 49% | – | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 22% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| 0 | 72% | 17% | 12% |
| +0.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.