Puskas FC Academy
Paksi SE
The model leans Paksi SE at 37%. Expected goals: Puskas FC Academy 1.40, Paksi SE 1.53. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 60%. Puskas FC Academy won 4 of their last 6; Paksi SE won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Puskas FC Academy | 34% | 2.96 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.72 | – | – | – |
| 2Paksi SE | 39% | 2.54 | – | – | – |
Pick: Paksi SE. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 39%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.40 – 1.53| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–26.2%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Puskas FC Academy 0| Puskas FC Academy line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 16% | – | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| 0 | 35% | 25% | 41% |
| +0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.