Vasas Budapest
Puskas FC Academy
The model leans Vasas Budapest at 39%. Expected goals: Vasas Budapest 1.71, Puskas FC Academy 1.52. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 65%. Vasas Budapest won 2 of their last 6; Puskas FC Academy won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vasas Budapest | 41% | 2.41 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.96 | – | – | – |
| 2Puskas FC Academy | 33% | 3.00 | – | – | – |
Pick: Vasas Budapest. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 75%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.71 – 1.52| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams to score | Yes64% | No36% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.3%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.8%
- 1–06.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Vasas Budapest 0| Vasas Budapest line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| 0 | 42% | 23% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.