Puskas FC Academy
Kisvarda
The model leans Puskas FC Academy at 41%. Expected goals: Puskas FC Academy 1.28, Kisvarda 0.86. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 57%. Puskas FC Academy won 4 of their last 6; Kisvarda won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Puskas FC Academy | 45% | 2.23 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.18 | – | – | – |
| 2Kisvarda | 24% | 4.22 | – | – | – |
Pick: Puskas FC Academy. Calibrated probability 41% (raw model output 45%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.28 – 0.86| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% |
| Both teams to score | Yes41% | No59% |
Most likely scores
- 1–015.1%
- 1–113.0%
- 0–011.8%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–09.6%
- 2–18.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Puskas FC Academy −0.5| Puskas FC Academy line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 21% | – | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | – | 54% |
| 0 | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.