Kisvárda
Györi ETO
The model leans Györi ETO at 55%. Expected goals: Kisvárda 0.62, Györi ETO 1.76. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 61%. Kisvárda won 1 of their last 6; Györi ETO won 2 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kisvárda | 12% | 8.59 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.08 | – | – | – |
| 2Györi ETO | 64% | 1.57 | – | – | – |
Pick: Györi ETO. Calibrated probability 55% (raw model output 64%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 88%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.62 – 1.76| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% |
| Both teams to score | Yes38% | No62% |
Most likely scores
- 0–116.2%
- 0–214.3%
- 1–110.1%
- 0–09.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–38.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 53% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Györi ETO −1| Kisvárda line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3% | – | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 10% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | – | 87% |
| 0 | 13% | 22% | 65% |
| +0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.