Györi ETO
Zalaegerszeg
The model leans Györi ETO at 51%. Expected goals: Györi ETO 1.62, Zalaegerszeg 0.81. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 54%. Györi ETO won 2 of their last 6; Zalaegerszeg won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Györi ETO | 56% | 1.80 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.70 | – | – | – |
| 2Zalaegerszeg | 17% | 5.75 | – | – | – |
Pick: Györi ETO. Calibrated probability 51% (raw model output 56%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.62 – 0.81| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 1–014.3%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.8%
- 0–17.1%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Györi ETO −1| Györi ETO line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 31% | – | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| 0 | 57% | 25% | 19% |
| +0.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.