Al Taee
Al Qadsiah
The model leans Al Qadsiah at 74%. Expected goals: Al Taee 0.79, Al Qadsiah 3.96. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 54%. Al Taee won 2 of their last 4; Al Qadsiah won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Taee | 3% | 32.79 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 7% | 14.04 | – | – | – |
| 2Al Qadsiah | 90% | 1.11 | – | – | – |
Pick: Al Qadsiah. Calibrated probability 74% (raw model output 90%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 97%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.79 – 3.96| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% |
| Both teams to score | Yes53% | No47% |
Most likely scores
- 0–39.2%
- 0–49.1%
- 1–37.2%
- 0–57.2%
- 1–47.1%
- 0–27.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 70% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Al Qadsiah −2| Al Taee line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1% | – | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 3% | 97% |
| -0.5 | 3% | – | 97% |
| 0 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| +0.5 | 10% | – | 90% |
| +1 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| +1.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.