Al Taee
Al Akhdoud
The model leans Al Taee at 38%. Expected goals: Al Taee 1.44, Al Akhdoud 1.22. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%. Al Taee won 2 of their last 4; Al Akhdoud won 2 of their last 3.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Taee | 41% | 2.44 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.53 | – | – | – |
| 2Al Akhdoud | 31% | 3.27 | – | – | – |
Pick: Al Taee. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 72%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.44 – 1.22| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% |
| Both teams to score | Yes54% | No46% |
Most likely scores
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–07.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 39% · BTTS Yes 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Al Taee 0| Al Taee line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 20% | – | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| 0 | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| +0.5 | 68% | – | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | – | 13% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.