Al-Adalah
Al Taee
The model leans Al-Adalah at 38%. Expected goals: Al-Adalah 1.82, Al Taee 1.68. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 69%. Al-Adalah won 1 of their last 4; Al Taee won 2 of their last 4.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al-Adalah | 41% | 2.44 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.16 | – | – | – |
| 2Al Taee | 35% | 2.85 | – | – | – |
Pick: Al-Adalah. Calibrated probability 38% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.82 – 1.68| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| Both teams to score | Yes68% | No32% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–05.5%
- 3–15.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Al-Adalah 0| Al-Adalah line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 22% | – | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 19% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | – | 58% |
| 0 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| +0.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.