Karlsruher SC
Inter
The model leans Inter at 74%. Expected goals: Karlsruher SC 0.95, Inter 4.02. Over 2.5 goals 87%, both teams to score 61%. Karlsruher SC won 2 of their last 5; Inter won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Karlsruher SC | 4% | 24.63 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 8% | 12.77 | – | – | – |
| 2Inter | 88% | 1.13 | – | – | – |
Pick: Inter. Calibrated probability 74% (raw model output 88%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 96%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.95 – 4.02| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% |
| Both teams to score | Yes60% | No40% |
Most likely scores
- 0–47.7%
- 0–37.7%
- 1–47.3%
- 1–37.3%
- 0–56.2%
- 1–55.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 70% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Inter −2| Karlsruher SC line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1% | – | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -0.5 | 4% | – | 96% |
| 0 | 4% | 7% | 88% |
| +0.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| +1 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| +1.5 | 25% | – | 75% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.