Inter
Real Betis
The model leans Inter at 54%. Expected goals: Inter 2.24, Real Betis 1.13. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 61%. Inter won 4 of their last 6; Real Betis won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Inter | 61% | 1.63 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.71 | – | – | – |
| 2Real Betis | 17% | 5.78 | – | – | – |
Pick: Inter. Calibrated probability 54% (raw model output 61%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 83%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.24 – 1.13| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Both teams to score | Yes61% | No39% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.7%
- 2–08.6%
- 1–07.7%
- 3–17.3%
- 3–06.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Inter −1| Inter line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 40% | – | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| 0 | 62% | 19% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.