Levante
Real Betis
The model leans Real Betis at 39%. Expected goals: Levante 1.35, Real Betis 1.57. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 60%. Levante won 2 of their last 5; Real Betis won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
Market: closing odds, Bet365_Spain| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Levante | 32% | 3.16 | 3.25 | 29% | +2 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.73 | 3.30 | 29% | −2 |
| 2Real Betis | 42% | 2.41 | 2.30 | 42% | 0 |
Pick: Real Betis. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.35 – 1.57| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.4%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–07.3%
- 0–26.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Levante 0| Levante line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | – | 67% |
| 0 | 33% | 25% | 43% |
| +0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | – | 21% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.