Preussen Münster
Karlsruher SC
The model leans Karlsruher SC at 39%. Expected goals: Preussen Münster 1.69, Karlsruher SC 1.88. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 70%. Preussen Münster won 1 of their last 5; Karlsruher SC won 2 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Preussen Münster | 34% | 2.91 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.22 | – | – | – |
| 2Karlsruher SC | 42% | 2.38 | – | – | – |
Pick: Karlsruher SC. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.69 – 1.88| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| Both teams to score | Yes69% | No31% |
Most likely scores
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–35.3%
- 0–15.3%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Preussen Münster 0| Preussen Münster line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| 0 | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| +0.5 | 57% | – | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 20% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.