Tranmere Rovers
Rotherham United
The model leans Rotherham United at 31%. Expected goals: Tranmere Rovers 1.20, Rotherham United 1.24. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 51%. Tranmere Rovers won 1 of their last 5; Rotherham United won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tranmere Rovers | 34% | 2.95 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.33 | – | – | – |
| 2Rotherham United | 36% | 2.77 | – | – | – |
Pick: Rotherham United. Calibrated probability 31% (raw model output 36%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.20 – 1.24| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% |
| Both teams to score | Yes50% | No50% |
Most likely scores
- 1–113.0%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 0–08.8%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–17.8%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 51% · BTTS Yes 50%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Tranmere Rovers 0| Tranmere Rovers line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 15% | – | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | – | 65% |
| 0 | 35% | 27% | 37% |
| +0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.