Bradford City
Cambridge United
The model leans Cambridge United at 37%. Expected goals: Bradford City 0.78, Cambridge United 1.00. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 65%. Bradford City won 2 of their last 5; Cambridge United won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bradford City | 26% | 3.83 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 35% | 2.82 | – | – | – |
| 2Cambridge United | 38% | 2.61 | – | – | – |
Pick: Cambridge United. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.78 – 1.00| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% |
| Both teams to score | Yes34% | No66% |
Most likely scores
- 0–016.9%
- 0–116.9%
- 1–013.2%
- 1–113.1%
- 0–28.5%
- 1–26.6%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 60% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Bradford City 0| Bradford City line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9% | – | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 19% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | – | 73% |
| 0 | 27% | 33% | 40% |
| +0.5 | 60% | – | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 24% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | – | 15% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.