Predictions · League One · outside model coverage

Cambridge United

12
Lost

Huddersfield Town

The model leans Cambridge United at 50%. Expected goals: Cambridge United 1.44, Huddersfield Town 0.84. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 55%. Cambridge United won 3 of their last 6; Huddersfield Town won 3 of their last 6.

Match result (1X2)

No market snapshot for this match
OutcomeModelFair oddsMarket oddsMarketEdge
1Cambridge United50%2.01
XDraw29%3.40
2Huddersfield Town21%4.83

Pick: Cambridge United. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 79%.

Goals

Expected goals λ 1.44 – 0.84
LineOverUnder
1.566%34%
2.540%60%
3.520%80%
Both teams to scoreYes43%No57%

Most likely scores

  • 1014.8%
  • 1112.4%
  • 2010.6%
  • 0010.3%
  • 218.9%
  • 018.6%

Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.

Asian handicap

Fair line: Cambridge United −0.5
Cambridge United lineHome coversPushAway covers
-1.525%75%
-125%26%49%
-0.551%49%
051%27%22%
+0.578%22%
+178%15%7%
+1.593%7%

Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.

Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.