Milton Keynes Dons
Huddersfield Town
The model leans Milton Keynes Dons at 50%. Expected goals: Milton Keynes Dons 1.78, Huddersfield Town 1.19. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%. Milton Keynes Dons won 0 of their last 6; Huddersfield Town won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Milton Keynes Dons | 50% | 1.99 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.93 | – | – | – |
| 2Huddersfield Town | 24% | 4.12 | – | – | – |
Pick: Milton Keynes Dons. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 50%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.78 – 1.19| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% |
| Both teams to score | Yes58% | No42% |
Most likely scores
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–26.4%
- 0–16.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 52% · BTTS Yes 54%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Milton Keynes Dons −0.5| Milton Keynes Dons line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 28% | – | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| 0 | 51% | 23% | 25% |
| +0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | – | 10% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.