Slavia Prague
Slovacko
The model leans Slavia Prague at 70%. Expected goals: Slavia Prague 2.97, Slovacko 0.68. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 53%. Slavia Prague won 4 of their last 6; Slovacko won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slavia Prague | 83% | 1.21 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 12% | 8.17 | – | – | – |
| 2Slovacko | 5% | 19.61 | – | – | – |
Pick: Slavia Prague. Calibrated probability 70% (raw model output 83%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 95%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.97 – 0.68| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| Both teams to score | Yes47% | No53% |
Most likely scores
- 2–011.6%
- 3–011.4%
- 4–08.5%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.8%
- 3–17.7%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Slavia Prague −2| Slavia Prague line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| -1 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| -0.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
| 0 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +0.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | – | 1% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.