Slovacko
Sigma Olomouc
The model leans Sigma Olomouc at 37%. Expected goals: Slovacko 1.00, Sigma Olomouc 1.22. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 54%. Slovacko won 0 of their last 6; Sigma Olomouc won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slovacko | 29% | 3.47 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.18 | – | – | – |
| 2Sigma Olomouc | 40% | 2.52 | – | – | – |
Pick: Sigma Olomouc. Calibrated probability 37% (raw model output 40%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 71%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.00 – 1.22| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% |
| Both teams to score | Yes45% | No55% |
Most likely scores
- 0–113.3%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–010.9%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–28.1%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Slovacko 0| Slovacko line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 11% | – | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | – | 70% |
| 0 | 30% | 29% | 41% |
| +0.5 | 59% | – | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.