Mlada Boleslav
Slovacko
The model leans Mlada Boleslav at 50%. Expected goals: Mlada Boleslav 1.61, Slovacko 0.87. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 53%. Mlada Boleslav won 3 of their last 5; Slovacko won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mlada Boleslav | 54% | 1.86 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.66 | – | – | – |
| 2Slovacko | 19% | 5.25 | – | – | – |
Pick: Mlada Boleslav. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 54%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 81%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.61 – 0.87| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% |
| Both teams to score | Yes46% | No54% |
Most likely scores
- 1–013.6%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–010.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–08.5%
- 0–17.3%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 50% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Mlada Boleslav −0.5| Mlada Boleslav line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| 0 | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| +0.5 | 80% | – | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | – | 6% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.