Viktoria Plzeň
Slovácko
The model leans Viktoria Plzeň at 65%. Expected goals: Viktoria Plzeň 2.17, Slovácko 0.55. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 62%. Viktoria Plzeň won 2 of their last 6; Slovácko won 0 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viktoria Plzeň | 74% | 1.35 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 19% | 5.36 | – | – | – |
| 2Slovácko | 7% | 13.99 | – | – | – |
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň. Calibrated probability 65% (raw model output 74%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 93%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.17 – 0.55| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% |
| Both teams to score | Yes37% | No63% |
Most likely scores
- 2–015.6%
- 1–014.4%
- 3–011.3%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–17.8%
- 0–06.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 43% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Viktoria Plzeň −1.5| Viktoria Plzeň line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| -1 | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| -0.5 | 75% | – | 25% |
| 0 | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| +0.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.