Viktoria Plzen
FC Zlin
The model leans Viktoria Plzen at 67%. Expected goals: Viktoria Plzen 2.54, FC Zlin 0.72. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 52%. Viktoria Plzen won 2 of their last 6; FC Zlin won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viktoria Plzen | 76% | 1.31 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 16% | 6.18 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Zlin | 8% | 13.07 | – | – | – |
Pick: Viktoria Plzen. Calibrated probability 67% (raw model output 76%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 92%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.54 – 0.72| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% |
| Both teams to score | Yes47% | No53% |
Most likely scores
- 2–012.4%
- 3–010.5%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–18.9%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–17.0%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 56% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Viktoria Plzen −1.5| Viktoria Plzen line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 55% | – | 45% |
| -1 | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| -0.5 | 77% | – | 23% |
| 0 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +0.5 | 92% | – | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | – | 2% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.