FC Zlin
Bohemians 1905
The model leans Bohemians 1905 at 32%. Expected goals: FC Zlin 1.12, Bohemians 1905 1.18. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 52%. FC Zlin won 1 of their last 6; Bohemians 1905 won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Zlin | 33% | 3.04 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.23 | – | – | – |
| 2Bohemians 1905 | 36% | 2.77 | – | – | – |
Pick: Bohemians 1905. Calibrated probability 32% (raw model output 36%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 69%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.12 – 1.18| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% |
| Both teams to score | Yes47% | No53% |
Most likely scores
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.9%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–17.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 55% · BTTS No 51%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC Zlin 0| FC Zlin line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 14% | – | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | – | 66% |
| 0 | 34% | 28% | 37% |
| +0.5 | 63% | – | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 22% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.