Predictions · Cup · outside model coverage
Unicov
0–2
Lost
FC Zlin
The model leans Unicov at 39%. Expected goals: Unicov 2.09, FC Zlin 1.91. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 75%.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match42
22
36
| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Unicov | 42% | 2.36 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.52 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Zlin | 36% | 2.81 | – | – | – |
Pick: Unicov. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 78%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.09 – 1.91| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Both teams to score | Yes75% | No25% |
Most likely scores
- 2–17.6%
- 1–17.3%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.0%
- 3–15.3%
- 3–25.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 61% · BTTS Yes 60%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Unicov 0| Unicov line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 21% | 36% |
| +0.5 | 64% | – | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.