Slavia Prague
Bohemians 1905
The model leans Slavia Prague at 61%. Expected goals: Slavia Prague 2.10, Bohemians 1905 0.69. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 55%. Slavia Prague won 4 of their last 6; Bohemians 1905 won 1 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slavia Prague | 69% | 1.45 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 21% | 4.84 | – | – | – |
| 2Bohemians 1905 | 10% | 9.78 | – | – | – |
Pick: Slavia Prague. Calibrated probability 61% (raw model output 69%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 90%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.10 – 0.69| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% |
| Both teams to score | Yes44% | No56% |
Most likely scores
- 2–013.5%
- 1–012.9%
- 3–09.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–16.6%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS No 52%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Slavia Prague −1.5| Slavia Prague line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 45% | – | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| -0.5 | 70% | – | 30% |
| 0 | 70% | 19% | 11% |
| +0.5 | 89% | – | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | – | 3% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.