Slavia Prague
Pardubice
The model leans Slavia Prague at 63%. Expected goals: Slavia Prague 2.65, Pardubice 1.00. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 59%. Slavia Prague won 4 of their last 6; Pardubice won 1 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slavia Prague | 72% | 1.39 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 17% | 5.86 | – | – | – |
| 2Pardubice | 11% | 8.90 | – | – | – |
Pick: Slavia Prague. Calibrated probability 63% (raw model output 72%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 89%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 2.65 – 1.00| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| Both teams to score | Yes59% | No41% |
Most likely scores
- 2–19.2%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–18.1%
- 3–08.1%
- 1–16.9%
- 1–06.9%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 59% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Slavia Prague −1.5| Slavia Prague line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 51% | – | 49% |
| -1 | 51% | 21% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | – | 28% |
| 0 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +0.5 | 88% | – | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | – | 4% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.