Viktoria Plzen
FC Zbrojovka Brno
The model leans Viktoria Plzen at 47%. Expected goals: Viktoria Plzen 1.36, FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.80. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 58%. Viktoria Plzen won 2 of their last 6; FC Zbrojovka Brno won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viktoria Plzen | 49% | 2.05 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 30% | 3.28 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Zbrojovka Brno | 21% | 4.83 | – | – | – |
Pick: Viktoria Plzen. Calibrated probability 47% (raw model output 49%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 79%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.36 – 0.80| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% |
| Both teams to score | Yes41% | No59% |
Most likely scores
- 1–015.7%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–011.6%
- 2–010.7%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.5%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 56% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Viktoria Plzen −0.5| Viktoria Plzen line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 24% | – | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | – | 50% |
| 0 | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| +0.5 | 78% | – | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | – | 7% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.