Teplice
FC Zbrojovka Brno
The model leans FC Zbrojovka Brno at 35%. Expected goals: Teplice 0.98, FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.10. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 57%. Teplice won 3 of their last 6; FC Zbrojovka Brno won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Teplice | 30% | 3.29 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 33% | 3.05 | – | – | – |
| 2FC Zbrojovka Brno | 37% | 2.71 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC Zbrojovka Brno. Calibrated probability 35% (raw model output 37%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance X2: 70%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 0.98 – 1.10| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% |
| Both teams to score | Yes42% | No58% |
Most likely scores
- 0–113.8%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–012.5%
- 1–012.2%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–27.4%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Teplice 0| Teplice line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 12% | – | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 20% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | – | 68% |
| 0 | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| +0.5 | 62% | – | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 23% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | – | 16% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.