Slovan Liberec
Teplice
The model leans Slovan Liberec at 39%. Expected goals: Slovan Liberec 1.17, Teplice 0.87. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 59%. Slovan Liberec won 4 of their last 6; Teplice won 3 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Slovan Liberec | 41% | 2.41 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 33% | 3.06 | – | – | – |
| 2Teplice | 26% | 3.86 | – | – | – |
Pick: Slovan Liberec. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 41%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 74%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.17 – 0.87| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% |
| Both teams to score | Yes40% | No60% |
Most likely scores
- 1–015.2%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–013.0%
- 0–111.3%
- 2–08.9%
- 2–17.7%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 58% · BTTS No 53%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Slovan Liberec −0.5| Slovan Liberec line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 18% | – | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 24% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| +0.5 | 73% | – | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | – | 9% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.