Viktoria Plzen
Slovan Liberec
The model leans Viktoria Plzen at 50%. Expected goals: Viktoria Plzen 1.48, Slovan Liberec 0.70. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 60%. Viktoria Plzen won 2 of their last 6; Slovan Liberec won 4 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viktoria Plzen | 55% | 1.82 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.47 | – | – | – |
| 2Slovan Liberec | 16% | 6.12 | – | – | – |
Pick: Viktoria Plzen. Calibrated probability 50% (raw model output 55%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 1X: 84%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.48 – 0.70| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% |
| Both teams to score | Yes39% | No61% |
Most likely scores
- 1–016.8%
- 2–012.4%
- 1–111.7%
- 0–011.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–17.9%
Calibrated calls: Under 2.5 56% · BTTS No 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Viktoria Plzen −0.5| Viktoria Plzen line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 29% | – | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | – | 44% |
| 0 | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| +0.5 | 82% | – | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | – | 5% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.