Artis Brno
Mlada Boleslav
The model leans Mlada Boleslav at 36%. Expected goals: Artis Brno 1.41, Mlada Boleslav 1.47. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 59%. Artis Brno won 1 of their last 6; Mlada Boleslav won 3 of their last 5.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Artis Brno | 35% | 2.86 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.67 | – | – | – |
| 2Mlada Boleslav | 38% | 2.65 | – | – | – |
Pick: Mlada Boleslav. Calibrated probability 36% (raw model output 38%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 73%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.41 – 1.47| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| Both teams to score | Yes58% | No42% |
Most likely scores
- 1–111.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–07.9%
- 0–26.1%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 50% · BTTS Yes 56%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: Artis Brno 0| Artis Brno line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 17% | – | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | – | 64% |
| 0 | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| +0.5 | 61% | – | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | – | 19% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.