FC København
Nordsjælland
The model leans FC København at 39%. Expected goals: FC København 1.81, Nordsjælland 1.60. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 68%. FC København won 5 of their last 6; Nordsjælland won 5 of their last 6.
Match result (1X2)
No market snapshot for this match| Outcome | Model | Fair odds | Market odds | Market | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC København | 42% | 2.37 | – | – | – |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.11 | – | – | – |
| 2Nordsjælland | 33% | 2.99 | – | – | – |
Pick: FC København. Calibrated probability 39% (raw model output 42%). Edge = model probability minus the bookmaker's margin-free probability, in percentage points; positive means the model rates the outcome higher than the market. Double chance 12: 76%.
Goals
Expected goals λ 1.81 – 1.60| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Both teams to score | Yes67% | No33% |
Most likely scores
- 1–19.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–05.9%
- 2–05.4%
Calibrated calls: Over 2.5 58% · BTTS Yes 58%. The table above is the raw Poisson grid from the expected goals.
Asian handicap
Fair line: FC København 0| FC København line | Home covers | Push | Away covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 23% | – | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | – | 57% |
| 0 | 43% | 22% | 34% |
| +0.5 | 66% | – | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | – | 17% |
Whole and half lines only. The fair line is where both sides are closest to even after pushes; it is information, not a recommendation.
Probabilities are model estimates and are not guarantees. This page is not betting advice. 18+.